Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.443459 5.128976 5.884642 6.779417 7.810118 8.960385 10.341913
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.399683 4.266377 5.303062 6.634520 8.299937 10.315530 12.942673
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.825516 3.814590 5.085121 6.837041 9.191881 12.250933 16.533507
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.294444 3.307276 4.694175 6.732306 9.654344 13.698726 19.735321
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.050262 3.135871 4.710938 7.163016 10.889873 16.352888 24.993911
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.817960 2.935399 4.644589 7.449477 11.946098 18.892110 30.476880
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.577901 2.678200 4.445060 7.488867 12.614189 20.922754 35.473439
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.307972 2.325369 4.034552 7.114811 12.543497 21.746875 38.612137
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.201454 2.230441 4.033479 7.422585 13.655269 24.672502 45.734341
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.141785 2.207625 4.150628 7.950202 15.222796 28.592753 55.189147
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.044310 2.098304 4.092956 8.142229 16.191376 31.548181 63.267495
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.948825 1.977348 3.994182 8.236591 16.977887 34.253021 71.231839
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.822112 1.778413 3.722920 7.964454 17.030430 35.603459 76.838016
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.708079 1.587905 3.440661 7.626234 16.894929 36.553882 81.763855
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.649935 1.509091 3.380521 7.753837 17.774942 39.753907 92.047672
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.574913 1.380547 3.193680 7.571746 17.940708 41.431113 99.189236
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.553165 1.372133 3.274298 8.014745 19.605610 46.697391 115.457946
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.522858 1.338344 3.291101 8.308753 20.961873 51.444250 131.223518
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.479641 1.265699 3.204501 8.336267 21.670183 54.748076 143.937855
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.417185 1.133970 2.953465 7.910292 21.169630 55.012669 148.945785
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.399713 1.118110 2.993203 8.246245 22.699513 60.622014 168.872863
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.394228 1.133963 3.117730 8.828254 24.976497 68.497795 196.165399
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.372605 1.101327 3.107831 9.038874 26.264675 73.919921 217.482439